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Red116
592825.1
973824.7
306542.1
Blue222
598747.2
169095.9
333958.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8922650150200250300116222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+92
Endgame+124
Fouls+106
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave0
1Coral scored#9
7Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +64
15Coral scored#27
54Coral points96
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#4
12Processor points30
12Net points16
24Algae points46
78Total teleop142
Reef
4L4#16
5L3#10
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +106
18Foul points0
116Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#14
42.10.0
41.041.0
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
blue by 53.7
95.90.9
89.590.4
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
Second
5928
#21
25.10.0
22.822.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
blue by 33.2
58.30.9
56.157.1
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
Third
9738
#11
24.70.0
25.125.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
blue by 22.4
5987
#10
47.20.9
47.948.9
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned