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Red102
459043.7
598747.2
157627.8
Blue115
973824.7
565427.1
307544.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010050150200102115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
65Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points32
102Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10
47.21.6
48.947.3
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
red by 3.0
44.21.0
45.344.3
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
Second
43.71.6
47.445.8
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
red by 16.6
5654
#16
27.11.0
27.226.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.0
End4.1
Third
1576
#12
27.81.6
30.128.4
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 3.1
9738
#11
24.71.0
25.124.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned