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Red218
592825.1
674040.1
169095.9
Blue97
321125.5
706716.5
157449.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169875010015020025021897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+97Teleop
+109Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points23
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +69
31Coral scored#9
111Coral points32
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
139Total teleop70
Reef
13L4#6
12L3#3
8L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
12Foul points0
218Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.92.9
90.493.3
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
red by 46.6
49.20.2
47.447.2
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
Second
40.12.9
37.440.3
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
red by 14.5
3211
#23
25.50.2
25.225.0
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
Third
5928
#21
25.12.9
22.825.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
red by 8.6
7067
#19
16.50.2
16.816.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed