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Red132
784533.9
209645.7
674040.1
Blue120
599069.9
307544.2
592825.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031256080140160180200132120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points58
3Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
18Processor points24
8Net points12
26Algae points36
93Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points10
132Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.9
41.943.7
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
blue by 24.3
69.90.3
63.663.3
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
Second
40.11.9
30.432.3
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
blue by 4.2
44.20.3
37.036.7
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
Third
7845
#13
33.91.9
25.927.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
red by 8.8
5928
#21
25.10.3
13.613.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed