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Red78
308329.7
321125.5
331627.9
Blue60
513523.7
529126.1
706716.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925802040801001201401607860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
62Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
78Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3083
#18
29.70.7
27.326.6
Auto2.2
Teleop27.1
End0.5
red by 3.6
5291
#29
26.10.3
22.322.6
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End3.3
Second
3316
#22
27.90.7
25.024.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
red by 4.2
5135
#25
23.70.2
17.517.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Third
3211
#23
25.50.7
29.929.2
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
red by 9.1
7067
#19
16.50.2
17.818.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed