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Red157
565427.1
459043.7
474446.2
Blue80
616816.1
333958.3
973824.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103102608012014015780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +56
19Coral scored#8
69Coral points29
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
99Total teleop43
Reef
11L4#5
8L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
157Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.24.1
33.137.2
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
blue by 12.2
58.31.0
52.051.1
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
Second
43.74.1
39.643.7
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
red by 19.0
9738
#11
24.71.0
22.321.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
Third
5654
#16
27.14.1
22.526.6
Auto5.9
Teleop17.0
End4.1
red by 11.0
6168
#27
16.11.0
20.319.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsEarned