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Red65
194316.1
441622.6
784533.9
Blue78
157627.8
157449.2
267931.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710802040801001201401606578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+21
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points19
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
34Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
65Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#13
33.90.3
27.728.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
blue by 15.4
49.21.3
45.844.5
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
Second
4416
#17
22.60.3
19.920.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 8.4
2679
#15
31.01.3
18.517.2
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Third
1943
#24
16.10.3
12.212.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
blue by 11.7
1576
#12
27.81.3
30.929.6
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed