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Red77
333958.3
459043.7
441622.6
Blue119
307544.2
706716.5
598747.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401125010015020077119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+40
Endgame+28
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
0Processor points12
16Net points12
16Algae points24
45Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points14
77Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.1
59.558.3
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
red by 11.2
5987
#10
47.20.1
47.747.6
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
Second
43.71.1
44.943.7
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
blue by 0.5
44.20.1
44.744.6
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
Third
4416
#17
22.61.1
23.722.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 6.1
7067
#19
16.50.1
17.016.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7