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Red195
169095.9
513523.7
599069.9
Blue141
331627.9
157449.2
474446.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20511850100150250300195141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+50Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
9Coral scored#9
47Coral points44
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +31
27Coral scored#19
98Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
126Total teleop95
Reef
12L4#12
12L3#8
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#34
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points2
195Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.1
94.594.5
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
red by 46.6
49.20.4
48.348.7
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
Second
69.90.1
68.568.6
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
red by 23.8
46.20.4
45.245.6
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Third
5135
#25
23.70.1
22.322.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
blue by 4.2
3316
#22
27.90.4
26.927.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4