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Red121
333958.3
459043.7
441622.6
Blue111
194316.1
674040.1
209645.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14510250200121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +12
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
72Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +10
22Foul points0
121Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.8
60.259.5
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
red by 12.7
45.70.1
45.545.7
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
Second
43.70.8
45.644.9
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
red by 3.7
40.10.1
39.940.1
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
Third
4416
#17
22.60.8
24.523.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 6.5
1943
#24
16.10.1
16.016.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5