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Red155
307544.2
706716.5
598747.2
Blue119
321125.5
973824.7
306542.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124102406080140160180200155119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points55
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
94Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +36
38Foul points6
155Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10
47.20.1
47.847.7
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
red by 5.0
3065
#14
42.10.1
42.042.1
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
Second
44.20.1
44.844.7
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
red by 18.7
3211
#23
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
Third
7067
#19
16.50.1
17.117.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 8.2
9738
#11
24.70.1
24.624.7
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4