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Red97
333958.3
459043.7
441622.6
Blue146
331627.9
157449.2
474446.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441248010016018020022097146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+45
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points38
41Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
50Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +49
4Foul points4
97Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.9
61.160.2
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
red by 9.1
49.20.5
47.848.3
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
Second
43.70.9
46.545.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
blue by 2.4
46.20.5
44.745.2
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Third
4416
#17
22.60.9
25.424.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 5.3
3316
#22
27.90.5
26.426.9
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4