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Red227
169095.9
513523.7
599069.9
Blue123
307544.2
706716.5
598747.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20710450150250300227123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+82Teleop
+82Endgame
+104Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points26
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +61
25Coral scored#14
90Coral points49
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
134Total teleop73
Reef
14L4#5
6L3#7
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +104
32Foul points10
227Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.2
94.294.5
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
red by 48.7
5987
#10
47.20.1
47.747.8
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
Second
69.90.2
68.368.5
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
red by 25.7
44.20.1
44.744.8
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
Third
5135
#25
23.70.2
22.122.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
red by 7.2
7067
#19
16.50.1
17.017.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7