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Red63
267931.0
157627.8
592825.1
Blue111
321125.5
973824.7
306542.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410540608012014016018063111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +46
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#5
6Processor points6
0Net points20
6Algae points26
45Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
63Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2679
#15
31.00.5
31.531.0
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
blue by 11.2
3065
#14
42.10.5
41.642.0
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
Second
1576
#12
27.80.5
28.327.8
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 2.2
3211
#23
25.50.5
25.025.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
Third
5928
#21
25.10.5
25.625.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
red by 0.4
9738
#11
24.70.5
24.124.6
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4