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Red105
784533.9
308329.7
565427.1
Blue108
194316.1
674040.1
209645.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411150150105108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
94Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#6
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
105Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#13
33.90.3
33.533.9
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
blue by 11.8
45.70.1
45.445.5
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
Second
3083
#18
29.70.3
29.429.7
Auto2.2
Teleop27.1
End0.5
blue by 10.3
40.10.1
39.839.9
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
Third
5654
#16
27.10.3
26.827.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.0
End4.1
red by 11.0
1943
#24
16.10.1
15.916.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5