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Red188
974027.3
223176.5
263064.3
Blue147
223064.3
157733.2
703952.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176153100200250188147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points52
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
30Processor points6
16Net points12
46Algae points18
111Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#10
8L3#4
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points2
188Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.5
76.176.5
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
red by 12.3
64.30.1
64.464.3
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
64.30.5
63.964.3
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 11.7
52.60.1
52.752.6
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Third
9740
#16
27.30.5
26.827.3
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
blue by 6.0
1577
#29
33.20.1
33.433.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8