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Red198
974027.3
223176.5
263064.3
Blue160
223064.3
157733.2
703952.6
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174152100200250198160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points52
44Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +56
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points52
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
24Processor points6
32Net points8
56Algae points14
122Total teleop66
Reef
10L4#8
7L3#6
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
198Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.6
75.576.1
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
red by 12.3
64.30.2
64.264.4
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
64.30.6
63.363.9
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 11.7
52.60.2
52.552.7
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Third
9740
#16
27.30.6
26.226.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
blue by 6.0
1577
#29
33.20.2
33.133.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8