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Red55
610423.3
930414.4
431915.1
Blue145
263064.3
221220.5
817542.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43109010015055145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+82
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +58
7Coral scored#17
26Coral points62
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
6Processor points24
8Net points12
14Algae points36
40Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
55Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#22
23.30.5
19.419.8
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 41.1
64.33.3
51.054.3
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
Second
4319
#24
15.10.5
16.617.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 26.9
8175
#18
42.03.3
30.133.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Third
9304
#17
14.40.5
11.712.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
blue by 6.1
2212
#20
20.53.3
14.217.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned