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Red115
193735.4
529132.3
595158.0
Blue67
1013917.8
555435.0
383510.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13249010015020011567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +51
19Coral scored#9
70Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
92Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points18
115Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#13
58.00.0
55.755.7
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
red by 23.0
5554
#14
35.01.3
29.628.3
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Second
35.40.0
33.333.3
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
red by 17.6
17.81.3
15.814.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Third
5291
#15
32.30.0
26.526.4
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
red by 22.1
3835
#31
10.11.3
10.49.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed