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Red120
930414.4
817542.0
194257.4
Blue102
223176.5
165726.2
158010.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92108050150200120102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
83Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
120Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.41.5
45.446.9
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
blue by 19.1
76.50.2
63.163.3
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
Second
8175
#18
42.01.5
33.434.9
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 15.8
1657
#23
26.20.2
25.625.8
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Third
9304
#17
14.41.5
12.213.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 4.3
1580
#33
10.10.2
10.610.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned