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Red90
263064.3
157733.2
610423.3
Blue96
711236.4
433827.7
822335.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12486501001502009096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
55Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
90Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.5
54.352.8
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 27.9
36.40.7
28.829.5
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Second
1577
#29
33.21.5
38.336.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8
blue by 1.9
8223
#19
35.10.7
33.033.8
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.8
Third
6104
#22
23.31.5
19.818.3
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 4.5
4338
#21
27.70.7
23.023.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned