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Red112
223064.3
431915.1
563543.7
Blue67
458631.9
673822.8
930311.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13559010015020011267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
64Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#14
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
112Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.8
56.655.8
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
red by 32.3
4586
#12
31.90.2
29.829.9
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End2.3
Second
43.70.8
44.743.8
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
red by 20.8
6738
#27
22.80.2
22.622.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Third
4319
#24
15.10.8
17.116.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 3.5
9303
#25
11.50.2
11.912.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed