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Red103
338818.4
703952.6
974027.3
Blue60
195419.2
221220.5
973917.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10049015010360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
56Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
103Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.9
45.346.2
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
red by 32.1
2212
#20
20.50.5
17.518.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Second
9740
#16
27.30.9
22.123.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
red by 8.1
1954
#32
19.20.5
16.416.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
Third
3388
#10
18.40.9
22.723.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 0.7
9739
#30
17.70.5
18.619.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed