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Red166
432037.7
263064.3
555435.0
Blue70
817542.0
466115.5
158010.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13459010015020025016670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+37Auto
+84Teleop
+98Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +37
9Leave6
8Coral scored#2
42Coral points8
51Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +47
20Coral scored#8
71Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
99Total teleop52
Reef
12L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points2
166Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.33.2
52.856.0
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 22.4
8175
#18
42.00.4
34.935.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Second
4320
#11
37.73.2
36.739.9
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
red by 22.2
4661
#26
15.50.4
17.117.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Third
5554
#14
35.03.2
28.331.5
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End1.2
red by 24.9
1580
#33
10.10.4
10.711.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed