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Red64
595158.0
458631.9
383510.1
Blue120
930414.4
529132.3
433827.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086605015020064120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
44Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points24
64Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#13
58.02.1
55.753.6
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
red by 25.7
5291
#15
32.32.1
26.428.6
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
Second
4586
#12
31.92.1
29.927.9
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End2.3
red by 4.2
4338
#21
27.72.1
23.725.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Third
3835
#31
10.12.1
9.17.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 4.3
9304
#17
14.42.1
13.815.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned