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Red126
563543.7
711236.4
193735.4
Blue116
973917.7
157733.2
703952.6
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310850100150200126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+20
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
68Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
126Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.3
43.845.1
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
blue by 9.0
52.60.9
46.247.1
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Second
36.41.3
29.530.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
red by 3.2
1577
#29
33.20.9
36.837.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Third
35.41.3
33.334.6
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
red by 17.7
9739
#30
17.70.9
19.120.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed