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Red72
930311.5
610423.3
571540.6
Blue36
673822.8
1013917.8
974027.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676340801001207236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
55Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
2Foul points0
72Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.5
32.032.5
Auto10.0
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 13.3
9740
#16
27.31.6
23.021.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
Second
6104
#22
23.30.5
18.318.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
red by 0.4
6738
#27
22.81.6
22.821.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Third
9303
#25
11.50.5
12.012.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 6.2
17.81.6
14.613.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed