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Red103
221220.5
822335.1
338818.4
Blue178
431915.1
194257.4
223176.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71143050100200103178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+81
Endgame+73
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave3
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points41
19Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +56
14Coral scored#27
52Coral points98
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
70Total teleop126
Reef
6L4#13
4L3#9
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#41
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points2
103Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8223
#19
35.11.1
33.834.9
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.8
blue by 41.4
76.52.6
63.365.8
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
Second
2212
#20
20.51.1
18.019.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
blue by 36.9
57.42.6
46.949.4
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
Third
3388
#10
18.41.1
23.524.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 3.3
4319
#24
15.12.6
16.318.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed