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Red71
165726.2
195419.2
563543.7
Blue179
223064.3
703952.6
817542.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841505010020025071179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+80
Endgame+104
Fouls+108
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points31
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +52
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points67
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
57Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#9
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +108
0Foul points4
71Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.1
45.144.0
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
blue by 20.6
64.32.5
55.858.2
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
1657
#23
26.21.1
25.824.7
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End0.9
blue by 26.4
52.62.5
47.149.5
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Third
1954
#32
19.21.1
16.915.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
blue by 22.8
8175
#18
42.02.5
35.337.7
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned