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Red127
466115.5
458631.9
263064.3
Blue62
610423.3
383510.1
973917.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12142010015020025012762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
84Total teleop46
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
2Foul points0
127Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.6
56.057.6
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 41.1
6104
#22
23.31.1
18.919.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Second
4586
#12
31.91.6
27.929.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End2.3
red by 14.2
9739
#30
17.71.1
20.021.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Third
4661
#26
15.51.6
17.419.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End1.0
red by 5.4
3835
#31
10.11.1
7.18.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed