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Red54
158010.1
433827.7
157733.2
Blue56
555435.0
431915.1
930311.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83680501001502002503003505456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
41Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
54Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#29
33.21.4
37.736.3
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8
blue by 1.7
5554
#14
35.00.9
31.530.7
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Second
4338
#21
27.71.4
25.924.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
red by 12.7
4319
#24
15.10.9
18.818.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
1580
#33
10.11.4
11.19.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
blue by 1.4
9303
#25
11.50.9
12.611.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed