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Red102
822335.1
571540.6
1013917.8
Blue101
711236.4
221220.5
529132.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858750607080100110120102101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+19Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points6
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
63Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#3
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
102Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.4
32.533.9
Auto10.0
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 4.1
36.41.5
30.832.3
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Second
8223
#19
35.11.4
34.936.3
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.8
red by 2.8
5291
#15
32.31.5
28.630.1
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
Third
17.81.4
13.014.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
blue by 2.7
2212
#20
20.51.5
19.120.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned