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Red127
157733.2
223176.5
673822.8
Blue120
432037.7
195419.2
529132.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1418850100200127120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#17
45Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
83Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
127Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.1
65.065.1
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
red by 38.8
4320
#11
37.71.7
39.741.4
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
Second
1577
#29
33.20.1
36.336.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8
red by 1.0
5291
#15
32.31.7
30.131.8
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
Third
6738
#27
22.80.1
23.623.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
red by 3.7
1954
#32
19.21.7
18.219.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned