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Red22
221220.5
1013917.8
930414.4
Blue40
466115.5
338818.4
165726.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538302040601001201401602240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
2Coral scored#6
6Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
6Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
22Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#20
20.51.9
20.618.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
blue by 5.7
1657
#23
26.22.0
24.522.5
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Second
17.81.9
14.412.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
blue by 0.6
3388
#10
18.42.0
26.724.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Third
9304
#17
14.41.9
15.113.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
blue by 1.1
4661
#26
15.52.0
19.017.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed