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Red112
930311.5
595158.0
711236.4
Blue216
263064.3
194257.4
223064.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8717950100150200250300112216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+74
Endgame+86
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave0
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points43
23Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +54
15Coral scored#26
53Coral points95
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
77Total teleop131
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#9
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#9
23Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points18
112Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#13
58.01.0
52.853.8
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
blue by 6.3
64.31.9
57.659.5
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
Second
36.41.0
32.333.3
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
blue by 27.8
64.31.9
60.762.6
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Third
9303
#25
11.51.0
11.712.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 45.9
57.41.9
51.553.4
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned