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Red101
529132.3
563543.7
673822.8
Blue107
930414.4
263064.3
193735.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081186080100140160180101107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points27
22Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
53Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
12Foul points2
101Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.9
46.445.5
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
blue by 20.7
64.30.3
59.559.2
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
Second
5291
#15
32.30.9
31.830.9
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
blue by 3.1
35.40.3
36.336.1
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Third
6738
#27
22.80.9
23.722.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
red by 8.4
9304
#17
14.40.3
13.212.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned