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Red122
974027.3
595158.0
433827.7
Blue52
431915.1
711236.4
338818.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137905010015020012252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+64Teleop
+74Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +54
15Coral scored#4
54Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
72Total teleop18
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points4
122Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#13
58.01.2
53.855.0
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
red by 21.6
36.41.8
33.331.5
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Second
4338
#21
27.71.2
26.928.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
red by 9.3
3388
#10
18.41.8
24.622.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Third
9740
#16
27.31.2
23.524.7
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
red by 12.2
4319
#24
15.11.8
17.715.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned