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Red31
383510.1
338818.4
930311.5
Blue74
571540.6
158010.1
930414.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516102040801001203174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+47
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +31
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
4Foul points0
31Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#10
18.41.4
22.821.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
blue by 22.2
40.61.2
36.637.9
Auto10.0
Teleop27.8
End2.8
Second
9303
#25
11.51.4
13.512.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 2.9
9304
#17
14.41.2
12.914.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Third
3835
#31
10.11.4
11.410.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Level
1580
#33
10.11.2
6.37.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed