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Red101
673822.8
610423.3
822335.1
Blue147
194257.4
563543.7
595158.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75171050100150200250101147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+46
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
13Coral scored#20
47Coral points72
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
69Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#8
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
101Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8223
#19
35.11.3
37.438.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.8
blue by 22.9
5951
#13
58.00.5
55.054.5
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
Second
6104
#22
23.31.3
21.422.7
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 34.2
57.40.5
54.253.7
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
Third
6738
#27
22.81.3
22.924.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
blue by 20.8
43.70.5
45.545.0
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned