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Red74
338818.4
930414.4
432037.7
Blue137
194257.4
711236.4
157733.2
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7213905010015020074137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+43
Endgame+69
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points39
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
62Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
6Foul points0
74Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#11
37.70.4
39.038.5
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
blue by 19.7
57.40.9
53.754.6
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
Second
3388
#10
18.40.4
21.421.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
blue by 18.0
36.40.9
34.835.7
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Third
9304
#17
14.40.4
14.113.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
blue by 18.8
1577
#29
33.20.9
35.336.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned