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Red123
974027.3
571540.6
817542.0
Blue100
610423.3
193735.4
433827.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059150150200123100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points8
27Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
82Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points2
123Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8175
#18
42.01.6
38.039.6
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 6.6
35.40.7
35.436.1
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Second
40.61.6
37.939.4
Auto10.0
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 12.8
4338
#21
27.70.7
29.229.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Third
9740
#16
27.31.6
23.224.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
red by 4.0
6104
#22
23.30.7
22.723.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned