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Red62
563543.7
930311.5
221220.5
Blue102
458631.9
165726.2
529132.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799120406010012014062102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+50
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
18Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#12
22Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
30Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
62Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.1
45.043.9
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
red by 11.4
5291
#15
32.31.0
31.832.9
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
Second
2212
#20
20.51.1
18.117.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
blue by 11.5
4586
#12
31.91.0
28.329.3
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End2.3
Third
9303
#25
11.51.1
12.111.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 14.7
1657
#23
26.21.0
24.025.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed