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Red109
193735.4
432037.7
158010.1
Blue141
221220.5
610423.3
223176.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112750100150200109141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
24Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points63
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
18Processor points18
8Net points8
26Algae points26
69Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points8
109Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#11
37.71.7
38.540.2
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
blue by 38.8
76.51.4
71.973.3
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
Second
35.41.7
36.137.8
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
red by 12.1
6104
#22
23.31.4
23.424.8
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Third
1580
#33
10.11.7
7.59.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
blue by 10.4
2212
#20
20.51.4
17.018.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned