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Red119
165726.2
223064.3
711236.4
Blue46
673822.8
431915.1
466115.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14355010020011946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+65Teleop
+67Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave0
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points16
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
58Total teleop28
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
6Foul points0
119Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.9
62.761.9
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
red by 41.5
6738
#27
22.81.1
23.222.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Second
36.40.9
35.734.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
red by 21.0
4661
#26
15.51.1
19.718.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Third
1657
#23
26.20.9
25.024.1
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 11.1
4319
#24
15.11.1
17.015.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed