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Red174
193735.4
703952.6
223176.5
Blue93
433827.7
263064.3
930311.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801025015020025017493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+73Teleop
+73Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points24
54Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +46
19Coral scored#10
70Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
92Total teleop46
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#3
9L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
12Foul points4
174Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.2
73.373.1
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
red by 12.2
64.31.2
62.160.9
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
Second
52.60.2
50.650.4
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
red by 24.9
4338
#21
27.71.2
29.528.3
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Third
35.40.2
37.837.6
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
red by 23.9
9303
#25
11.51.2
12.711.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned