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Red113
165726.2
673822.8
194257.4
Blue120
571540.6
193735.4
157733.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961056080120140113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+17
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
65Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
12Foul points2
113Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.5
43.343.8
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
red by 16.8
40.61.3
28.229.4
Auto10.0
Teleop27.8
End2.8
Second
1657
#23
26.20.5
26.326.8
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End0.9
blue by 9.2
35.41.3
33.234.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Third
6738
#27
22.80.5
23.624.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
blue by 10.4
1577
#29
33.21.3
37.538.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned