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Red62
529132.3
383510.1
431915.1
Blue85
563543.7
930414.4
466115.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648020401001201406285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+37
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
35Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
62Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#15
32.30.8
27.826.9
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
blue by 11.4
43.70.2
40.540.7
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
Second
4319
#24
15.10.8
17.416.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 0.4
4661
#26
15.50.2
18.018.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Third
3835
#31
10.10.8
12.411.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 4.3
9304
#17
14.40.2
11.511.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed