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Red140
703952.6
221220.5
458631.9
Blue116
822335.1
595158.0
555435.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7012350100150200140116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
76Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
18Foul points6
140Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.63.3
39.442.7
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
blue by 5.4
5951
#13
58.00.2
56.356.1
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
Second
4586
#12
31.93.3
22.625.8
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End2.3
blue by 3.2
8223
#19
35.10.2
31.130.9
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.8
Third
2212
#20
20.53.3
10.914.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
blue by 14.5
5554
#14
35.00.2
25.925.7
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned