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Red74
973917.7
433827.7
817542.0
Blue112
974027.3
930311.5
223064.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79815060709010011012074112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
7Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
61Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points6
74Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8175
#18
42.00.1
30.230.1
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
blue by 22.3
64.31.9
51.553.4
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
4338
#21
27.70.1
24.624.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
red by 0.4
9740
#16
27.31.9
18.820.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
Third
9739
#30
17.70.1
19.119.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End0.6
red by 6.2
9303
#25
11.51.9
7.99.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned