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Red89
338818.4
195419.2
263064.3
Blue27
610423.3
158010.1
1013917.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1084501508927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
45Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points4
89Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.5
51.551.0
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 41.1
6104
#22
23.32.0
21.419.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Second
1954
#32
19.20.5
17.617.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
red by 1.4
17.82.0
18.216.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Third
3388
#10
18.40.5
24.724.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 8.3
1580
#33
10.12.0
11.09.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed